With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. Sorry Marc. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. Light bulbs on each state changed from undecided white to Republican . It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters Elaine Kamarck Thursday, September 30, 2021 FixGov After a COVID-19-related delay in getting out the census data, states across the country are now. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. Not one! Biden won Maricopa with just over 50% of the vote, a large increase compared with Clinton's 45% in 2016. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). But Pennsylvania is now red. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. But maps that color entire counties red or blue can dupe viewers: they make both states . Continue with Recommended Cookies. The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. In 2016, President Donald Trump won the state by .7%, which totalled about 44,000 votes, and flipped three counties from blue to red. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". While I had less reporting on this, high turnout was also reported in the red parts of the state, too. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. Charlie We haven't heard yet from Allegheny County, which is also a top source of Democratic votes. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. 2020 Electoral Map Results. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. Use arrow keys to move around the map. Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. In 1908, The New York Times printed a special color map, using blue for Democrats and yellow for Republicans, to detail Theodore Roosevelt's 1904 electoral victory. Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. Press Enter to view state-level map. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. The key swing region is the. Voters will also nominate candidates for Congress and the state Legislature. They propose partition of the U.S. as a way of allowing both groups to achieve their policy goals while reducing the chances of civil war. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. The colors red and blue are also featured on the United States flag. Includes 2016 Races for President, Senate, House, Governor and Key Ballot Measures. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. Gov. Be the first to know breaking news, delivered only when a big story is developing. The Hill . .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. More than 75% of the land area is red, when looking at the map based on land areas, while shifting to the population view only about 46% of the map is red. Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. National conventions for both major parties increasingly feature the parties' respective colors, from the colors emphasized on convention podiums to the color conventioneers can be seen wearing on the delegate floor. Yet, because of just two densely packed urban clusters, the popular vote ended Trump 2,970,733 / Clinton 2,926,441. We and our partners use cookies to Store and/or access information on a device. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). Hi everyone from D.C.! But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". Former Governor Ed Rendell gives his take. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. More than a . But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. [30] It attempts to represent the margin of victory in each county by coloring each with a shade between true blue and true red. PTFCA Indoor State Championship by Don & Gayle Rich Feb 26, 2023 WATCH: Eighth Grader Sophia Rodriguez runs 9:43 3K Mar 3, 2023 Drew Griffith runs the third-fastest Mile in PA History Mar 1, 2023 That march then met Hillary Clinton's 'blue wall' states which, at one time, included Pennsylvania. Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. On Election Day, polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. The look of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices. Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. 4, another 2020 red state. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. Thus Trump ended with all 20 of Pennsylvanias electoral votes. Pennsylvania voted democratic in the 2020 election. These are general election results for the years listed. By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. So he has a little cushion there to workwith. Massachusetts is a blue state with a red governor making red states look worse on mortality. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. All three of those states were very close in both elections. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. But What about Investing in Bonds? [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Crime rate U.S. 2020, by state. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. These states often had more regulations and higher taxes. According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. [41][note 1][42]. Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. Many argue that assigning partisanship to states is only really useful as it pertains to the Electoral College, as well as (more recently) the Senate, primarily a winner-take-all system of elections (with the exceptions of Nebraska and Maine). Manage Settings Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. Winner chosen by the House of Representatives Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. [47][48][49] A different poll that same year grouped the United States into five geographic regions, and found that 37% of Americans favored secession of their own region. Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. As a result, the blue counties tend to be the smaller ones so blue is visually less represented than it should be based on vote totals. Election results provided by the Associated Press. It feels like the new Florida. The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. Is Wisconsin a red state? CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse, Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. The. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. Sacrificing the Future to China for Bidens Green New Deal. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election Special elections, if any, are excluded. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. Blue States No. Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. Charlie and PA, MI, OH & IL are on track to lose aseat! The state had an additional redistricting before 2018. Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. )Voters spoiled mail-in ballots at high rates, and some poll workers were confused about how to process those ballots. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) Iapologize.). As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades.
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